Hiccups update and discourse on skepticism
Thursday, June 29th, 2006I’m a skeptic, perhaps to a fault sometimes. I’ll admit that when Katie mentioned that I should drink a lot of water, slowly, but all at one time (no stopping), that I didn’t believe it would work, but it seems to have worked.
This skepticism seems to have been hard-coded into me, or perhaps just instilled in me in at a relatively young age. The skepticism has also been cultivated by my scientific background and training. I believe that my skepticism is usually a good thing.
It’s very often not particularly easy to identify what helps to cure or alleviate a condition in a person. Should I eat peppers, or drink water, or hold my breath, or take Medicine X, or get more sleep, or get less sleep, or rest, or exercise? What works for someone may not work for someone else. Also, someone may believe that something has helped him, but it’s just the placebo effect, or it’s just a coincidence. (Just because something happened right after Event X doesn’t mean that the something caused Event X.) The disagreeing data between very intelligent scientists involved in multi-million dollars studies shows just how difficult it is to get right and to apply the data specifically and generally to people. That’s the macro level.
At the micro level, what can I do? When should I be skeptical? It’s not always clear, but I can think of a couple of instances in which it is a good idea:
* When the person or people presenting a service/idea/product have something to gain
* When the person or people presenting a service/idea/product doesn’t have effective data
Conversely, it is possible to be too skeptical. For instance:
* Deciding not to get married because you can’t prove that your prospective spouse will not eventually get tired of you and seek a divorce
* Expecting science to prove (or disprove) the existence of God
* Discounting all scientific studies since many disagree with each other or are proved to be invalid
I didn’t say it was easy to know when to be a skeptic, but try to apply the right dose.